I have some work forthcoming that suggests that it's about half and half.
In addition to your question of how much voters think, there is the question of what candidates think is the incentive structure. Because of (2), currently in NJ candidates have an unusually large incentive to please party elites, more than in other states by 15-20 points.
I have some work forthcoming that suggests that it's about half and half.
In addition to your question of how much voters think, there is the question of what candidates think is the incentive structure. Because of (2), currently in NJ candidates have an unusually large incentive to please party elites, more than in other states by 15-20 points.