Love reading your analyses, which I started doing some years ago on your Princeton Election Consortium website. What I miss here is all of the back and forth with your fellow experts that always followed your posts. We need to get those folks here for the conversation!
I do have one question: Given that this midterm outcome is such an outlier, spurred most likely(?), by reaction to the SCOTUS Hobbs decision and other current particularities, including candidate quality, etc., would this national map still be “surprisingly fair overall” had the voter participation been more normal?
Thank you for writing! What a great suggestion, would be wonderful to revitalize that community. My fault for less-frequent posting.
That’s a good question. The fact that the map overall tilts slightly toward Democrats does suggest some specific mobilization of voters, either across-the-board or in key districts.
Love reading your analyses, which I started doing some years ago on your Princeton Election Consortium website. What I miss here is all of the back and forth with your fellow experts that always followed your posts. We need to get those folks here for the conversation!
I do have one question: Given that this midterm outcome is such an outlier, spurred most likely(?), by reaction to the SCOTUS Hobbs decision and other current particularities, including candidate quality, etc., would this national map still be “surprisingly fair overall” had the voter participation been more normal?
Thank you for writing! What a great suggestion, would be wonderful to revitalize that community. My fault for less-frequent posting.
That’s a good question. The fact that the map overall tilts slightly toward Democrats does suggest some specific mobilization of voters, either across-the-board or in key districts.