Sam, I agree except slightly on which states gained from gerrymandering vs. party-neutral. By my estimates, Maryland's map (after court intervention) was very close to a party-blind expectation. And I would add Florida to the list of states with significant rightward tilt relative to party-blind expectations.
Sam, I agree except slightly on which states gained from gerrymandering vs. party-neutral. By my estimates, Maryland's map (after court intervention) was very close to a party-blind expectation. And I would add Florida to the list of states with significant rightward tilt relative to party-blind expectations.
Computer simulations suggest that a party-blind process in Maryland would have produced up to 6 Democratic seats. See this: https://gerrymander.princeton.edu/redistricting-report-card?planId=rectT3e34TouwaqH0